Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if that must be your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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